Always Prepared
Wall Street Journal economics reporter Jon Hilsenrath
has written a deservedly hagiographic biography of Janet Yellen, perhaps the
most consequential economic policy official of the past twenty-five years.
Yellen is the only person in history to have served in all three top economic
policy posts of our Nation, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors (under
Clinton), Chair of the Federal Reserve Board (Under Obama) and Secretary of the
Treasury (under Biden). Along the way she was President of the San Francisco
Fed. Hilsenrath’s book is written along three strands: a biography of Yellen, a
love story between her and her fully supportive husband Nobel Laureate
economist George Akerlof, and a history of the macroeconomic policy debates
from the 1960’s to the present.
Born into a 1946 Jewish middle class family in
Brooklyn where education was the highest priority, Yellen excelled in school.
She was always well prepared and from the vantage point of this less than
stellar kid from adjacent Queens you might say she was a “goody two shoes.” She
went on Brown University and then on to an economic Ph.D. from Yale under the
very distinguished Keynesian economist, James Tobin. Harvard hired her, but
ultimately did not give her tenure. Too bad for Harvard.
Yellen then goes on to work for the Fed in Washington,
D.C. There she meets her husband to be in that well known singles meet-up
place, the Fed cafeteria. It was almost love at first site and they were very
sympatico with their soon to become New Keynesian outlook. You could call title
it, “nerds in love.”
After leaving Washington, D.C. the couple ends up
teaching at UC Berkeley in the 1980’s. Before too long with her growing acclaim
as a labor economist, Yellen is appointed to the Federal Reserve Board in 1994.
It was there where I met her at the infamous Fed consultants meeting in late
1996 on the roaring bull market in stock prices. Although our conversation was
brief, I found her to be a kind, friendly and caring person. Those three
attributes come though in Hilsenrath’s writing.
In 2004 she was named President of the San Francisco
Fed and from that vantage point she warned of the growing housing bubble that
would soon almost take down the entire economy. From there she moved back to
the Federal Reserve Board and in 2013 became its Chair where she became a
strong advocate of bringing down unemployment. To her the unemployment rate was
not a statistic, but rather represents real people struggling in life. However,
with the arrival of Trump, unlike Greenspan and Bernanke, she was not
reappointed. I guess a five-foot grey-haired woman was not what Trump had in
mind to be Fed chair.
Biden, on the other hand, leaped at the chance to
appoint her as his Secretary of the Treasury. Just as in her role as CEA chair
Yellen was uncomfortable be in a political role as Secretary of the Treasury.
She went along with the $1.7 trillion rescue plan, despite misgivings, but
still she underestimated the inflationary fires that were being kindled
underneath the economy. Thus, part of her legacy will be the path of inflation
over the next few years.
There is far more to Hilsenrath’s wonderful tribute to Yellen. Indeed, Yellen has paved the way for female economists in the 21st Century, a notable accomplishment. One more thing, I commented on Yellen on several occasions in my Shulmaven blog including one where I noted that she was not the fairy godmother for the stock market.(See:Shulmaven: Yellen, Yellen You Got Tapering on Your Mind*, Shulmaven: Two History Lessons for Janet Yellen, Shulmaven: Memo to the Stock Market: Janet Yellen is not Your Fairy Godmother ) When I presented it, I pictured her with in a fairy godmother outfit with a magic wand in her hand. In her own way Janet Yellen always had a magic wand in her hand.
For the full Amazon URL see: Always Prepared (amazon.com)
No comments:
Post a Comment