Wednesday, November 16, 2022

My Amazon Review of Jon Hilsenrath's "Yellen: The Trailblazing Economist....."

Always Prepared

Wall Street Journal economics reporter Jon Hilsenrath has written a deservedly hagiographic biography of Janet Yellen, perhaps the most consequential economic policy official of the past twenty-five years. Yellen is the only person in history to have served in all three top economic policy posts of our Nation, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors (under Clinton), Chair of the Federal Reserve Board (Under Obama) and Secretary of the Treasury (under Biden). Along the way she was President of the San Francisco Fed. Hilsenrath’s book is written along three strands: a biography of Yellen, a love story between her and her fully supportive husband Nobel Laureate economist George Akerlof, and a history of the macroeconomic policy debates from the 1960’s to the present.

 

Born into a 1946 Jewish middle class family in Brooklyn where education was the highest priority, Yellen excelled in school. She was always well prepared and from the vantage point of this less than stellar kid from adjacent Queens you might say she was a “goody two shoes.” She went on Brown University and then on to an economic Ph.D. from Yale under the very distinguished Keynesian economist, James Tobin. Harvard hired her, but ultimately did not give her tenure. Too bad for Harvard.

 

Yellen then goes on to work for the Fed in Washington, D.C. There she meets her husband to be in that well known singles meet-up place, the Fed cafeteria. It was almost love at first site and they were very sympatico with their soon to become New Keynesian outlook. You could call title it, “nerds in love.”

 

After leaving Washington, D.C. the couple ends up teaching at UC Berkeley in the 1980’s. Before too long with her growing acclaim as a labor economist, Yellen is appointed to the Federal Reserve Board in 1994. It was there where I met her at the infamous Fed consultants meeting in late 1996 on the roaring bull market in stock prices. Although our conversation was brief, I found her to be a kind, friendly and caring person. Those three attributes come though in Hilsenrath’s writing. 

 

In 2004 she was named President of the San Francisco Fed and from that vantage point she warned of the growing housing bubble that would soon almost take down the entire economy. From there she moved back to the Federal Reserve Board and in 2013 became its Chair where she became a strong advocate of bringing down unemployment. To her the unemployment rate was not a statistic, but rather represents real people struggling in life. However, with the arrival of Trump, unlike Greenspan and Bernanke, she was not reappointed. I guess a five-foot grey-haired woman was not what Trump had in mind to be Fed chair.

 

Biden, on the other hand, leaped at the chance to appoint her as his Secretary of the Treasury. Just as in her role as CEA chair Yellen was uncomfortable be in a political role as Secretary of the Treasury. She went along with the $1.7 trillion rescue plan, despite misgivings, but still she underestimated the inflationary fires that were being kindled underneath the economy. Thus, part of her legacy will be the path of inflation over the next few years.

 

There is far more to Hilsenrath’s wonderful tribute to Yellen. Indeed, Yellen has paved the way for female economists in the 21st Century, a notable accomplishment.  One more thing, I commented on Yellen on several occasions in my Shulmaven blog including one where I noted that she was not the fairy godmother for the stock market.(See:Shulmaven: Yellen, Yellen You Got Tapering on Your Mind*Shulmaven: Two History Lessons for Janet YellenShulmaven: Memo to the Stock Market: Janet Yellen is not Your Fairy Godmother ) When I presented it, I pictured her with in a fairy godmother outfit with a magic wand in her hand. In her own way Janet Yellen always had a magic wand in her hand.


For the full Amazon URL see: Always Prepared (amazon.com)

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