The Art of the Deal
Diplomat/historian A. Wess Mitchell has offered us a
long history of diplomacy starting with Sparta’s conflict with Athens in 400
BCE up to the Nixon/Kissinger opening of China in the 1970’s. Instead of the
direct application of force Mitchell views active diplomacy as a way of getting
the best out of a weak hand and as a way to strengthen a strong hand in the
game of nations.
His case studies also include Byzantium’s struggle
against the Huns and Persia, Venice making peace with Milan to engage the
Ottoman’s, Austria’s many struggles in Central Europe, France’s grand strategy
in the 1600’s, Bismarck’s in the 1800’s and Britain’s at the turn of the 20th
Century. Above all to Mitchell, interests triumph over ideology requiring a
nation to play the hand with the cards it is dealt.
Especially interesting to me was Austria’s Prince
Kaunitz, Metternich’s predecessor, using Louis XIV’s mistress Madame Pompadour
as a go between to establish an alliance with France against Frederick the
Great’s Prussia. A few years later we see Austria, guided by Metternich making
an alliance with Prussia to stave off France. Indeed, interests are far more
permanent than alliances. Also fascinating are the machinations of France’s
Cardinal Richelieu making an alliance with Protestant Sweden against Catholic
Austria. Mind you this is against the backdrop of huge religious strife in
Europe.
Mitchell discusses at length Britain’s realization
that by 1900 it was overstretched and had to reduce its global commitments. Mitchell
follows Lord Landsdowne as he makes deals with Japan limiting its involvement
in the Western Pacific, with Russia in Central Asia and with the Untied States
in the America’s. All of this was necessary to gird the nation for the war that
would come with Germany. If there is one message in the book is that core
interests take precedence over peripheral interests. This blog previously
reviewed Kori Schaki’s work on the same topic. (See: Shulmaven:
My Amazon Review of Kori Schake's "Safe Passage: The Transition from
British to American Hegemony" )
Another lesson of the
book is the importance of mobilizing effective coalitions and isolating the
enemy. The worst thing that can happen is to be isolated against a strong
enemy. Opponents have to be constrained and if they can’t be constrained by the
threat of force, bribery sometimes works as in the case of Byzantium buying off
the Huns. But bribery should not be confused with appeasement of a direct
rival. In the case mentioned Persia was the direct rival and the bribes enabled
Byzantium to hold its own.
In reading Mitchell’s
book, one has to shudder just to think about Trump’s foreign policy. Instead of
making alliances, he is destroying them and making America more isolated while
Russia and China are moving in the fill in the vacuum, not a pleasant sight. (
See: Shulmaven:
Some Thoughts on Trump's National Security Strategy ) One would hope that
at least a few Trump staffers would sneak away to read this valuable volume on
foreign policy.
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