Monday, June 12, 2023

My Amazon Review of Benjamin Graham's and Jason Zweig's (Ed) "The Intelligent Investor (Rev. Ed.)"

 Margin of Safety

 I just finished rereading “The Intelligent Investor,” a book a I read many years ago and much of its investment insights are still very valid for today. I would note that I was weaned on Benjamin Graham’s “Security Analysis, Principles and Techniques” as an undergraduate at Baruch College. I guess you can say that Graham’s ideas are in my blood. Indeed, just as Graham probed the Standard and Poor’s stock guide, so too did I for many years. Today we have computerized databases.


 The most critical ideas that are useful today include:

·       * A stock certificate is more than a piece of paper; it represents an

      ownership interest in a business.

·      *  Investments should only be undertaken with a quantifiable margin of safety.

·     *   “Mr. Market” who on occasion is manic-depressive allows you to express a view on a stock or a bond every day.

·     *   Despite all of your efforts at security analysis the stock market is loosely efficient making it very difficult to outperform a broad index. Investment success flows from a few very special situations.

·      *  Investors can be characterized as defensive or enterprising, but even for the enterprising investor Graham’s rules are designed to minimize losses through diversification and heeding to margin of safety requirements.

 

As the classic value investor, much of Graham’s work is focused on tangible book value. That metric worked well though the middle of the 20th Century, but that kept Graham and his acolytes away from growth companies who were powered by intangible capital. Thus, it was hard for Graham to get comfortable with owning many of the growth stocks of his era, but his discipline kept him away from the craziness of the bubbles that occurred in 1961 and in the late 1960’s.  Jason Zweig, the editor of this version discusses at the length the extremes of the late 1990’s dot.com bubble.

 

Graham was fond of public utility shares in the early 1970’s because they traded a low price/earnings and price/book ratios. Unfortunately, he did not foresee the debacle that cost over-runs in nuclear power brought on to this sector. Zweig points this out. Also, Graham really didn’t associate the rise in interest rates in the late 1960’s with the rise in inflation. He characterized common stocks as inflation hedges, which in the long run they are, but that is not necessarily true in the short run as rising inflation propels interest rates higher and price/earnings ratios lower.

 

Then there is a short discussion on Graham’s investment in Government Employees Insurance Co. (GEICO). There his partnership broke his diversification rule by investing 25% of its capital in it for 50% of the company. However, its valuation in terms of earnings and tangible equity was very low. It was his best investment and Warren Buffett, his best-known student, followed him into GEICO and as a result Berkshire Hathaway now owns the entire company.

 

Although the book’s examples are dated, the investing rules outlined here are timeless.


For the full Amazon URL see: Margin of Safety (amazon.com)

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