Showing posts with label Bob Rubin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bob Rubin. Show all posts

Sunday, March 29, 2026

My Review of Lloyd Blankfein's "Streetwise: Getting to and Through Goldman Sachs"

The Rise of Lloyd Blankfein*


This Jewish street kid from Queens salutes the Jewish street kid from Brooklyn. Lloyd Blankfein, with the help of Jacob Weisberg, describes his rise from the housing projects of Brooklyn to the commanding heights of Goldman Sachs. His father worked the night shift at the post office and his mother worked for a burglar alarm company, a growth industry in Brooklyn at the time. Although I am a decade older than Blankfein, I feel in some respects we led parallel lives. Obviously, his success was far greater than my own.

 

Blankfein grew up in a two-bedroom apartment with his parents, his sister, and his grandmother while I grew up in a one and half bedroom apartment in Queens with my parents, a brother, and a sister. To be sure my neighborhood was far nicer than his. That said, just like his, our living room furniture was covered in clear plastic so no one could mess it up. He married his wife Laura who was a scholarship student at the elite Fieldston School, while had a long-term relationship with Fieldston scholarship student.

 

While he was at Goldman Sachs, I was at Salomon Brothers and Lehman

Brothers. We both witnessed the great bull market in financial assets that began in 1982, the crash of 1987, the bond market collapse of 1994 that nearly brought both Goldman and Salomon to their knees, and we were both in our offices in lower Manhattan at the time of the 9/11 attacks. While I was semi-retired in 2008, we both were caught in the whirlwind of the 2008 financial crisis.

 

Where Blankfein stood out was his raw smarts. He skipped the 8th grade and received a full ride scholarship to Harvard at age 16. From there he went on to Harvard Law School while I went on to Baruch College and UCLA. He started out in tax law, but he realized quickly that it was not for him and applied to several investment banking firms, including Goldman. Goldman, in its infinite wisdom, turned him down. However, Blankfein did find work at J. Aron, a commodity trader, which was acquired by Goldman. So here was Blankfein with a slew of outer-borough traders trying to integrate into the very toney Goldman Sachs investment banking environment. At the end of the day, it is not clear who had a greater influence over the other as Goldman Sachs soon become dominated by its trading activity.

 

Blankfein quickly became a star a Goldman. Here was a Jewish kid from Brooklyn negotiating a Sharia compliant investment structure for a Saudi prince. He later helped invent an institutional commodity fund that offered a yield by taking advantage of the implicit interest rates embedded in spot versus futures prices. Soon he was running all of Goldman’s FICC group (fixed income, currency, and commodities) that was generating three quarters of the firm’s profits.

 

Blankfein goes into the politics behind Goldman becoming a public company. Thus, in a way Blankfein offers us two books, one being his autobiography and the other being the recent history of Goldman Sachs, of which he becomes a leading player. He certainly succeeded at playing the game of thrones at Goldman to become its chairman in 2006. Along the way we meet Henry Paulson, Jon Corzine, Bob Rubin, Gary Cohn, and David Solomon among many Goldman luminaries.

 

Blankfein chairmanship arrives just in time for the Great Financial Crisis. Early on he realizes something is going awry in the markets. He orders all of his trader to set their positions “close to home,” and he became very strict about the firm’s daily mark-to-market culture. This prepared the firm for the ordeal to come, but with the whole neighborhood burning down, even the most fire-resistant houses are in danger. In an interesting vignette Blankfein describes how Goldman received $5 billion in financing from Warrant Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway. It was done very casually over the phone while Buffett was taking his grandson to a Dairy Queen.

 

As we all know Wall Street gets bailed, but the senior executives become among the most vilified people in America. Blankfein is no exception and he was required to have permanent armed security for several years and was continually raked over the coals by Congress and the Financial Inquiry Commission. Here Blankfein’s humble roots and his sense of humor came into play when he sparred with such pseudo-populists as Bernie Sanders and Mayor DeBlasio.

 

What struck me was that Blankfein continually kept the entire Goldman team up to date conditions within the firm and the ongoing crisis. He did a series of voice mails for the Goldman community, many of which are published in the book. My sense is that my career would have benefitted me far more by working for him rather than Salomon’s John Gutfreund or Lehman’s Dick Fuld, both of whom I knew.

 

Blankfein gets very personal in his discussion concerning his bout with cancer while still heading Goldman Sachs. He was hospitalized for intense chemo treatment and when he was out, he held Putinesque meetings with his colleagues with him sitting at one end of a long table and the others at the far end. Simply put, his immune system was totally compromised.

 

Here I only scratched the surface of Blankfein’s remarkable life. He comes off as a very real person, and I wish I had a chance to know him and I wish Goldman was more proactive in hiring outer-borough kids.

 

*- With apologies to Abraham Cahan 

Sunday, December 23, 2018

The Sum of all Fears: It is Far More than the Fed*

The stock market by declining 7.1% thus far this month is having a December to remember putting it on track to have its worst December since the depression year 1931. Indeed the S&P 500 is now off 18% since its September high. While most market participants have been blaming Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks last Wednesday, the market's troubles extend well beyond the Fed. (See https://shulmaven.blogspot.com/2018/12/no-powell-put.html) Why? On Friday New York Fed President John Williams at a live CNBC interview walked back most of the comments made by Powell perceived to be bearish by stating that the Fed remains data dependent, two rate increases next year are not cast in stone and the timing and the extent of the Fed's balance sheet reduction program is dependent upon market conditions. 

The market got everything it was asking for and remember everything that Williams said was pre-cleared by Powell. In response stocks quickly rallied and then sold off hard ending the day much lower. So if it is not only the Fed, what is it? The market's weakness has everything to do with Trump's trade policies especially with respect to China that is throwing a monkey wrench into business capital spending plans. Further complicating the situation the USMCA Treaty (the new NAFTA) is in big trouble with the Democrats in House. 

Overlaying everything is the increasing erratic behavior of President Trump. His abrupt pull-out from Syria and his firing of Defense Secretary James Mattis were hardly confidence builders. Now throw in a partial shut-down of the government, Trump musing about firing Powell and more indictments coming from the Mueller probe you have witches brew of chaos that is hardly market friendly. Moreover there are no calming figures in the Administration.  Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin is no Hank Paulson and he is no Bob Rubin. Knock, knock nobody is home.   

As a result the biggest fear in the market is that things will get worse and that weakness in the market transmitted via the wealth effect to economy will lead to a recession. Our 3-2-1 forecast for 2018-2020 GDP growth could very well turn out to be 3-0- Minus 2. 

The big question is whether or not all or most of this is priced in, if not we are headed lower; if it is we will soon find a bottom. As they say, only time will tell.

*-With apologies to Tom Clancy.