Thursday, September 12, 2024

My Review of William Inboden's "The Peacemaker: Ronald Reagan, the Cold War......"

 Reagan v. Evil Empire

 

On March 8, 1983, President Ronald Reagan spoke before an evangelical conference where he called out the Soviet Union as “the focus of evil in the modern world.” This became known as his evil empire speech. Although he was roundly criticized for his choice of words, Reagan was dead right. University of Texas professor and former national security aide to George W. Bush, William Imboden rightly focuses on the ideological content of Reagan’s foreign policy which became known as the Reagan Doctrine in his deeply researched history.

Although known as a super-hawk during his career, Reagan’s goal was to seek peace through a negotiated surrender of the Soviet Union. In this task he succeeded and along the way he liberated Eastern Europe and started the process of reducing the huge stocks of nuclear weapon controlled by the U.S. and the Soviet Union.

Reagan’s policy was that of peace through strength. He orchestrated a huge arms build-up and started the Strategic Defense Initiative (Star Wars) which scared the living daylights out of the Soviet Union. Listening more to Andrew Marshall Office of Net Assessment in the bowels of the Pentagon than the CIA, he understood that the Soviet economy was far weaker than previously thought. (Shulmaven: My Amazon Review of Andrew Krepinevich's and Barry Watts' "The Last Warrior: Andrew Marshall and the Shaping of Modern American Defense Strategy") Simply put, the Soviets couldn’t keep up.

Inboden covers the shaky start of the administration where both his national security advisor and Secretary of State were fired. While looking to meet with the Soviets, three of their leaders died on him, Brezhnev, Andropov and Chernenko. But once Gorbachev came into power the way was open for both of them to achieve Reagan’s longstanding goal of reducing nuclear weapons. Reagan was aided by having A-players in his administration. These would include William Clark, George Schultz, James Baker, Jeanne Kirkpatrick, Paul Nitze, Colin Powell, and George H.W. Bush. It is sad that today A-players in today’s Washington, D.C. are few and far between.

Reagan really did care about human rights. He consistently supported the rights of Jews in the Soviet Union to emigrate. He worked hard to end the dictatorships in Chile, Taiwan, the Philippines, and Korea. He learned the lesson from Iran and Nicaragua, that right wing dictatorships despite being allied to the U.S., were brittle. Hence, he supported the transition to democracy among many of our allies.

Throughout his administration Reagan had the support of Margaret Thatcher, Helmut Kohl and especially of Yasuhiro Nakasone of Japan. He viewed Japan as our most strategic ally. He also received advice from Richard Nixon, mostly good, some bad; and Russia expert Suzanne Massie who came up with the “trust but verify” policy.

Inboden does not sugar coat the Iran/Contra scandal that nearly brought down his administration. How these presumably smart people got sucked into doing an arms for hostages deal with Iran and then using some of the proceeds to illegally fund the Nicaraguan Contras. You couldn’t make up the comedy of errors involved in this fiasco.

 

Inboden’s history of Reagan’s foreign policy sheds new light on this one of our most consequential presidents. It is well worth the read.

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

My Thoughts on the Harris -Trump Debate

 No Knockout, but a Clear Win for Harris

 

Although Vice President Kamala Harris did not “float like a butterfly, sting like a bee” in the words of Muhammad Ali, she clearly won last night’s debate. She came off as a cool and accomplished leader who many would see as presidential. In contrast Trump came off hot as the angry old man that he is. It is OK to show flashes of anger on television, but it is very hard to sustain anger for a full ninety minutes.

 

Harris was consistently forward looking, while Trump was looking back to the past. In a way Harris came off more as a challenger than Trump did. It was quite a trick for the sitting vice president to come off as the change candidate. On substance she was at her best in discussing abortion and weakest when talking about her changed positions. Here the ABC moderators failed in not following up on her radically changing views. They also failed in not focusing on the foreign policy and military challenges facing our country. It was Trump’s failure in not taking this fight to Harris. In a real sense, just like Biden two months ago, Trump lost the debate more than Harris won it.

 

Finally, to put a cherry on top of the cake, Taylor Swift endorsed Harris as soon as the debate ended.