Saturday, March 16, 2024

My Amazon Review of Ian Buruma's "Spinoza: Freedom's Messiah"

Cancelled

At a time when cancel culture is running rampant in the West, it is useful to note that pernicious as it is, it is not new. In Dutch born Ian Buruma’s biography we find the 23-year-old Baruch Spinoza banned from his Sephardic synagogue in Amsterdam for his heretical ideas about G_d and the origins of the Bible. At the time Spinoza had yet to publish anything, but his ideas were so powerful that he threatened both the Jewish and Christian communities alike. Mind you this occurred in 1656 at the height of the Dutch enlightenment. Along the way we learn much about life in the milieu of the Dutch Republic.


Spinoza would go on to write a major book on the philosophy of Descartes and later several books on his own philosophy. He was part of a coterie of intellectuals that viewed him as a cult figure; a reputation that was enhanced by his ascetism and celibacy.


Spinoza’s god was nature itself. Thus, to study nature in the spirit of open scientific inquiry was the pathway to finding G_d. For espousing freedom of thought, Spinoza was cancelled. Although Spinoza did not believe in organized religion, he did believe that it served the purpose of inculcating the values of justice and charity within the broader population.


Buruma himself was cancelled as the editor of the New York Review of Books in 2018 because he didn’t bow down the #MeToo orthodoxy. In writing about Spinoza, Buruma has exacted a modicum of justice against the radical hyenas of the Left. 

For the full amazon Review see: Cancelled (amazon.com)

Friday, March 8, 2024

President Biden's State of the Union: Strong on Form Weak on Substance

Very reminiscent of Harry Truman's "give'em hell" 1948 campaign, President Biden came out swinging against his nameless predecessor and the Republican House of Representatives in his state of union address. ( See: Shulmaven: New Yorker Follows Shulmaven on Biden Election Strategy. ) He was confident, strong, and relaxed and at least for the time being silenced the "bedwetters" in the Democratic Party concerned about his re-election prospects. Further I wouldn't be surprised to see a meaningful bounce in his poll numbers in the coming week.

In terms of substance there was much to be desired. He opened his speech citing Franklin Roosevelt's 1941 state of the union (see below):

In January 1941, President Franklin Roosevelt came to this chamber to speak to the nation. He said, “I address you at a moment unprecedented in the history of the Union.” Hitler was on the march. War was raging in Europe. President Roosevelt’s purpose was to wake up the Congress and alert the American people that this was no ordinary moment. 

Freedom and democracy were under assault in the world. Tonight I come to the same chamber to address the nation. Now it is we who face an unprecedented moment in the history of the Union. And yes, my purpose tonight is to both wake up this Congress, and alert the American people that this is no ordinary moment either."

President Roosevelt's speech which has become to be known as his "Four Freedoms Speech" was delivered on January 6, 1941. Only a week before Roosevelt gave fireside chat where he declared the United States to be "an arsenal of democracy." The difference today is that President Biden is nowhere near declaring America as an arsenal of democracy. Indeed his proposed defense budget will show a meager 1% increase. Given the tone of his speech and the prewar environment we are now living in, he should have called for a massive increase in defense spending. (See: Shulmaven: Shulmaven Anticipates Hal Brands Foreign Affairs Article on Pre-WW II and Today) Thus his rhetoric is way ahead of his actions.

The other troubling parts of his speech is that he revived all of the old Democratic Party tropes about taxing the rich, going after big Pharma, and spending program upon spending program. He fails to understand that middle-of-the-road voters in 2020 thought they were voting for a Bill Clinton and instead got a Lyndon Johnson. This could come back to haunt Biden as his rhetoric could very well scare away the Nikki Haley voters he will need in November.

































Tuesday, March 5, 2024

My Amazon Review of Jennifer Burns' "Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative"

 The Little Giant 

Standing at exactly five feet, Milton Friedman was short in stature, but very tall intellect. Stanford historian Jennifer Burns has written a very readable biography of one of the great intellectual giants of the 20th century. From humble beginnings in Rahway, New Jersey we witness Milton Friedman scaling the heights of the economics profession as his once controversial ideas move from the fringes to the mainstream of thought that would ultimately have great effect on public policy.

 

In many respects, I am a child of his ideas. While as an undergraduate at Baruch College, I learned of the Friedman-Savage utility function, price theory from his workbook, the permanent income hypothesis, and the quantity theory of money through “A Monetary History of the United States.”  I also studied the works of his graduate students, in particular Gary Becker on human capital and David Meiselman on the term structure of interest rates. That was quite an economics education for an undergrad in the early 1960’s.

 

Friedman was blessed by having great mentors. At Rutgers and Columbia, he fell under the wing of Arthur Burns and at the University of Chicago he was fortunate to learn from Henry Simons and it certainly did not hurt to have Aaron Director, his wife Rose’s older brother in his corner. The University of Chicago was a hot house of ideas standing athwart the New Deal and Freidman was in the middle of it all. Much of this was discussed in George Tavlas’ “The Monetarists” which I previously reviewed.

 

There is much here that I did not know about Friedman. I knew he was involved in crafting payroll withholding at the Treasury Department during World War II, but I did not know he continuously represented the department at congressional hearings. Interestingly Burns makes a strong case that although Freidman took full credit for the permanent income hypothesis, it was really a joint effort of his wife, Rose and economists Dorothy Brady and Margaret Reid. Those three women had worked on family consumption patterns in the late 1930’s and the 1940’s. Perhaps most troubling was an episode in 1955 when his wife was raped in their Chicago home while Friedman was travelling in India. Initially he did not want to return home, but he had to be talked into it by Arthur Burns.

 

His conservative ideas brought him close to power as he advised Republicans Goldwater, Nixon, and Reagan. His conduit to Nixon and Reagan was Chicago dean and high government official, George Schultz. His fame brings him to Chile where his students were leading the charge to reform that nation’s economy. When he was there to advise the government, he turned a blind eye to the atrocities of the Pinochet dictatorship.

 

During the 1970’s heyday of monetarism, Friedman was the most famous economist in the world. His 1967 presidential address to the American Economic Association correctly outlined the thesis that there was no long run trade-off between unemployment and inflation proved to be correct in the stagflating 1970’s. However as financial deregulation changed the definition of money the crude MV=PY equation lost its effectiveness as a guidepost to the economy.

 

The world we live in today is very much the product of Friedman’s ideas characterized by Jennifer Burns as Chicago price theory. Those ideas include floating exchange rates, the volunteer army, the negative income tax, school vouchers and the deregulation of licensing requirements. This is the legacy that she writes so well about.


For the full Amazon URL see: The Little Giant (amazon.com)

 

 

Monday, March 4, 2024

New Yorker Follows Shulmaven on Biden Election Strategy.

On January 24th we briefly outlined a strategy for the Biden re-election campaign. (See: Shulmaven: Sleepwalking on the Road to Perdition ) 

"Further Biden has to get out of his sleepwalking mode and, if he is capable, he has to run an all-out campaign a la 1948 Harry Truman against the do nothing Congress. However, that "if" is a BFD, as Biden would say. To continue the Truman analogy, Biden should give an all-out speech calling for a big increase in the defense budget to deal with the axis of evil. Otherwise I fear that we would be sleepwalking on the road to perdition."

Today the New Yorker magazine followed us with a long article  by Evan Osnos. See the excerpt below from Politico.

BIDEN’S TRUMAN MOMENT: EVAN OSNOS ’ full New Yorker profile on Biden and his reelection mission is worth your time. But one moment stuck out to us: the parallel between the president’s pitch and that of HARRY TRUMAN .

“Biden’s opportunity is akin to the one that Harry Truman had in his 1948 campaign for reelection. Trailing in the polls, Truman railed against what he called a ‘Do Nothing Congress,’ which had failed to stop spiking prices and ameliorate a housing crisis. Much as Biden talks about the threat to freedoms worldwide, Truman spoke of a gathering Cold War, a grand mission that served to unify a fractious Democratic Party. He ultimately prevailed,” Osnos wrote.

“It was a matter of pulling together a coalition that was in even worse fragmentation,” historian SEAN WILENTZ told Osnos about Truman. “Truman did it by going to the American people, running against Congress, standing up on both the Cold War and civil rights. It’s possible that ’48 will prove a precursor to what we have now — if the Democrats take heed.”

That suggests that Biden could point, for example, to Republicans scuttling the grand bargain on immigration, and sidelining the national security supplemental for Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan and other priorities in the process. It also suggests focusing on democracy and the rise of autocratic forces could give Biden an edge in his election narrative. (Source: Politico National Security, 3/4/2024)

The problem with the strategy is that Biden does not appear to have the energy to do the equivalent of a 100 city whistle stop tour.