Friday, September 13, 2019

My Amazon Review of Binyamin Appelbaum's "The Economists' Hour: False Prophets, Free Markets and the Fracture of Society"


Economists in the Crosshairs

I have to admit at the outset that I am a card carrying financial economist and know or knew several of the economists mentioned in the book. New York Times editorial writer and former economics reporter Binyamin Appelbaum has written a screed blaming the Chicago School of economics for the vast increase in economic inequality since 1973. Trust me he gives them way too much blame/credit because the amorphous forces of globalization and technology have done far more to create the winner take all society we seem to be living with.

He basically argues that the economics profession staged a hostile takeover of Washington politics. The profession rises from the bowels of the Fed to the near stardom of CEA Chairman Walter Heller in the Kennedy White House. It was the heyday of Keynesian economics as the Kennedy-Johnson tax cuts engendered the mid-1960s boom. It was the failure of Keynesian economics to predict that inflation and unemployment could exist side-by-side that opened the way for the Chicago School. He specifically signals out Milton Friedman, Arnold Harberger, Richard Posner and Michael Jensen among others as his villains.

Appelbaum really doesn’t understand how the 1970s inflation unhinged society. For most American the economy seemed to be out of control and he doesn’t note that the tight bracket unindexed income tax system confiscated the real wages of the American people. Thus although pre-tax wages rose faster than inflation; after-tax they did not. Thus to me Fed Chairman Paul Volcker was a hero.

His careful research shows up in his discussion of how the draft ended under the impetus of Nixon aide Martin Anderson, the intellectual arguments of Milton Friedman and the strong technical work of Walter Oi. He also discusses the role of dissent in the armed forces by highlighting an anti-war demonstration that took place in Fayetteville, North Carolina adjacent to Fort Bragg where actress Jane Fonda spoke. I attended that demonstration. He showed real diligence in coming with the source for this event in an unpublished Duke Ph.D. dissertation written by air force colonel Scoville Currin.

Appelbaum has mixed feelings about the volunteer army, but I suspect that if the United States had a draft after 9/11 he would be far less ambivalent. In 2001 Appelbaum would have been 23 years old and I just can’t picture him taking mortar fire in the Hindu Kush Mountains of Afghanistan or being face down in the mud on the banks of the Tigris River in Iraq.

He devotes a chapter to the role of the “Chicago boys” in the 1970s Pinochet dictatorship of Chile. There Chicago trained economists’ orchestrated policy of the regime. To Appelbaum their policies weren’t all that successful, but he stopped the clock in 1990. He doesn’t really speculate on what would have happened if assassinated socialist Chilean president Salvatore Allende remained in power. It could very well turned out be a facsimile of the Chavez/Maduro hell in Venezuela instead of it being the thriving country that it is today.

Appelbaum rightly notes that the Reagan deregulation of the 1980s had its origin under Jimmy Carter. Where under the Senate leadership of Edward Kennedy and with the backing of Ralph Nader both the airline and trucking industries were deregulated. Here the economist in charge was Alfred Kahn. We can thank him for cheaper airfares and the hassles of flying today.

In his obsession to blame economists for inequality Appelbaum also leaves out the massive failure of all too many urban and rural public schools. If anything most economists are on the side of the angels in attempting to improve public education. Further he fails to mention that for all practical purposes the Democratic Party abandoned American workers for the siren calls of identity politics.

Appelbaum has written a very readable book. Unfortunately he way over-states his case. He should have been more modest. By the way that is the same advice I give to my economist colleagues. His personal vignettes about the economists he discusses are terrific and unlike most books, read his footnotes. There are loads of interesting kernels there.




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