A Giant in Monetary Policy
Paul Volcker is literally and
figuratively a giant (6 foot 8 inches tall) in monetary policy. His
autobiography written with financial journalist Christine Harper rightly puts
him at the center of every major monetary event from 1961 when he worked under
Robert Roosa in the Kennedy Administration treasury department to his chairing
the Federal Reserve Board from 1979-87. He was in the room when the Kennedy
Administration was facing the Triffin Dilemma where it was inherent that the
U.S. did not have a sufficient gold stock to maintain the long term value of
the dollar. He was in the room when Nixon broke with the gold exchange standard
and devalued the dollar in 1971.
Volcker is best known for breaking the
great 1970s inflation by undertaking a revolution in monetary affairs. Instead
of targeting interest rates the Fed in October 1979 targeted the growth in the
money supply. Treasury bill rates soared to 17%, long treasury yields peaked at
15% and a recession ensued. But by 1982 he broke the back of inflation with the
annual rate of increase in consumer prices plunging from 13% to 4%. Simply put
Volcker laid the basis for the Great Moderation that was to follow for the next
25 years. Few would have the stature and the courage to do what Volcker did.
After his service at the Fed Volcker
chaired many commissions, most notably settling the reparations issue between
the Swiss banks and the holocaust victims and uncovering the corruption in the
U.N.’s oil for food program in Iraq. Volcker truly lived a life of public
service that was largely inspired by his father’s works as a successful city
manager in Cape May and Teaneck New Jersey.
My one quarrel with the book is that
Volcker doesn’t really go into detail about the personalities he discussed. For
example I would really be curious to know why he endorsed Barack Obama over
Hillary Clinton in the 2008 Democratic primary. Nevertheless Volcker’s
autobiography places the monetary history of the past 60 years into context. As
an aside I had the privilege of meeting him on two separate occasions. He truly
is a giant.
The full Amazon URL appears at: https://www.amazon.com/review/R256DRM4L31SUT/ref=pe_1098610_137716200_cm_rv_eml_rv0_rv
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